Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

KC

58%

PHI

42%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

48%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

42–30

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 PHI
• Scoring−0.6 KC
• Passing offense+0.4 PHI
• Offensive touchdowns−0.3 KC