Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

DET

45%

CHI

55%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–24

Winner CHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CHI
• Points allowed−0.4 DET
• Passing offense+0.4 CHI
• Passing defense+0.4 CHI