Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

CAR

56%

DAL

44%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

47%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–36

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DAL
• Passing defense−0.6 CAR
• Points allowed+0.5 DAL
• Rushing defense−0.5 CAR