Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

BAL

50%

DEN

50%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

43%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–7

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DEN
• Passing defense+0.5 DEN
• Scoring−0.4 BAL
• Passing offense−0.2 BAL