Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

IND

42%

TEN

58%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

45%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–25

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 TEN
• Passing defense−0.3 IND
• Points allowed+0.3 TEN
• Rushing defense−0.2 IND