Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

BAL

68%

DET

32%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–17

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DET
• Points allowed+0.6 DET
• Rushing defense−0.4 BAL
• Passing offense−0.4 BAL