New York Giants at New York Jets

Before kickoff

NYG

44%

NYJ

56%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–34

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.5 NYG
• Passing offense+0.4 NYJ
• Rushing defense+0.3 NYJ
• Home field+0.3 NYJ