Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

MIN

44%

DAL

56%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–24

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 DAL
• Passing offense−0.2 MIN
• Interception rate−0.2 MIN
• Scoring+0.1 DAL