Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

MIA

8%

IND

92%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

81%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–12

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.9 IND
• Win percentage−0.8 MIA
• Scoring+0.7 IND
• Rushing defense+0.6 IND