New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

NYJ

62%

MIA

38%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–26

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.7 NYJ
• Home field+0.3 MIA
• Scoring differential−0.3 NYJ
• Passing offense−0.1 NYJ