Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

GB

36%

LAC

64%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

11–26

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.4 LAC
• Scoring−0.3 GB
• Home field+0.3 LAC
• Interception rate−0.2 GB