Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

WAS

8%

MIN

92%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

80%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–19

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.9 MIN
• Scoring differential+0.8 MIN
• Win percentage−0.8 WAS
• Rushing defense+0.4 MIN