Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

SEA

55%

ATL

45%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–20

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.8 ATL
• Scoring differential−0.5 SEA
• Passing offense−0.4 SEA
• Scoring−0.3 SEA