Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

LV

17%

HOU

83%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–27

Winner HOU. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.6 HOU
• Scoring+0.5 HOU
• Win percentage−0.4 LV
• Rushing defense+0.4 HOU