New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

NO

28%

CHI

72%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–25

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rest+0.4 CHI
• Scoring−0.3 NO
• Win percentage+0.3 CHI
• Home field+0.3 CHI