New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

NO

47%

JAX

53%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–6

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.9 JAX
• Scoring−0.6 NO
• Rushing defense−0.5 NO
• Scoring differential−0.3 NO