Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

ATL

62%

ARI

38%

Predicted winner

ATL

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–34

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.6 ARI
• Offensive touchdowns−0.5 ATL
• Scoring−0.4 ATL
• Rushing defense−0.3 ATL