Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

JAX

40%

CAR

60%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–34

Winner CAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.4 CAR
• Home field+0.3 CAR
• Passing offense−0.2 JAX
• Rushing defense−0.2 JAX