Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

BUF

9%

TEN

91%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–7

Winner BUF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Interception rate+0.5 TEN
• Turnovers+0.4 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 TEN
• Home field+0.3 TEN