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2019 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

CLE
6%
BAL
94%
Predicted winner
BAL
Confidence
74%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

4025

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Scoring+0.8 BAL
  • Scoring differential+0.7 BAL
  • Rushing defense+0.7 BAL
  • Win percentage−0.5 CLE