Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

TB

26%

CAR

74%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–14

Winner TB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.4 CAR
• Interception rate+0.3 CAR
• Home field+0.3 CAR
• Scoring differential+0.3 CAR