Los Angeles Chargers at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

LAC

41%

DET

59%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

40%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–13

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.8 DET
• Scoring−0.5 LAC
• Scoring differential−0.4 LAC
• Home field+0.3 DET