Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

LAR

46%

CAR

54%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

29%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–27

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.8 LAR
• Win percentage+0.7 CAR
• Scoring differential−0.5 LAR
• Home field+0.3 CAR