Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

GB

21%

CHI

79%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–3

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.7 GB
• Rushing defense+0.6 CHI
• Scoring differential+0.5 CHI
• Passing offense+0.4 CHI