Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

DEN

49%

LV

51%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

27%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–24

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential−0.5 DEN
• Rushing defense−0.3 DEN
• Home field+0.3 LV
• Win percentage+0.2 LV