Week 16 · Sunday, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET · Dallas
Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys
60% JAX win probability40% DAL win probability
- Projected
- 25–21
- Model confidence
- 33%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans JAX
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageJAX +0.3
Win percentage: JAX +0.3, JAX versus DAL
- Scoring differentialJAX +0.2
Scoring differential: JAX +0.2, JAX versus DAL
- Home fieldDAL +0.1
Home field: DAL +0.1, JAX versus DAL
- Rushing defenseJAX +0.1
Rushing defense: JAX +0.1, JAX versus DAL
- Points allowedJAX +0.1
Points allowed: JAX +0.1, JAX versus DAL
- QB interception rateDAL +0.1
QB interception rate: DAL +0.1, JAX versus DAL
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.