Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · Washington
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders
55% ATL win probability45% WAS win probability
- Projected
- 24–23
- Model confidence
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans WAS
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldWAS +0.1
Home field: WAS +0.1, ATL versus WAS
- Win percentageATL +0.1
Win percentage: ATL +0.1, ATL versus WAS
- Interception rateATL +0.1
Interception rate: ATL +0.1, ATL versus WAS
- TurnoversWAS +0.1
Turnovers: WAS +0.1, ATL versus WAS
- Rushing defenseATL +0.1
Rushing defense: ATL +0.1, ATL versus WAS
- Scoring differentialATL +0.0
Scoring differential: ATL +0.0, ATL versus WAS
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.