Week 13 · Sunday, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET · Chicago
Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears
55% JAX win probability45% CHI win probability
- Projected
- 24–22
- Model confidence
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans JAX
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Rushing defenseJAX +0.2
Rushing defense: JAX +0.2, JAX versus CHI
- Home fieldCHI +0.1
Home field: CHI +0.1, JAX versus CHI
- Rushing offenseCHI +0.1
Rushing offense: CHI +0.1, JAX versus CHI
- Scoring differentialJAX +0.1
Scoring differential: JAX +0.1, JAX versus CHI
- TurnoversJAX +0.1
Turnovers: JAX +0.1, JAX versus CHI
- Win percentageJAX +0.1
Win percentage: JAX +0.1, JAX versus CHI
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.