Week 6 · Monday, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET · San Francisco
Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers
25% WAS win probability75% SF win probability
- Projected
- 18–27
- Model confidence
- 44%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans SF
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageSF +0.3
Win percentage: SF +0.3, WAS versus SF
- Offensive touchdownsSF +0.2
Offensive touchdowns: SF +0.2, WAS versus SF
- Home fieldSF +0.1
Home field: SF +0.1, WAS versus SF
- Scoring differentialSF +0.1
Scoring differential: SF +0.1, WAS versus SF
- QB yards/attemptSF +0.1
QB yards/attempt: SF +0.1, WAS versus SF
- Rushing defenseSF +0.1
Rushing defense: SF +0.1, WAS versus SF
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.