Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET · London · International
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders
63% IND win probability37% WAS win probability
- Projected
- 23–18
- Model confidence
- 35%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans IND
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- ScoringIND +0.2
Scoring: IND +0.2, IND versus WAS
- Win percentageIND +0.1
Win percentage: IND +0.1, IND versus WAS
- Rushing defenseIND +0.1
Rushing defense: IND +0.1, IND versus WAS
- Scoring differentialIND +0.1
Scoring differential: IND +0.1, IND versus WAS
- Offensive touchdownsIND +0.1
Offensive touchdowns: IND +0.1, IND versus WAS
- Rushing offenseWAS +0.1
Rushing offense: WAS +0.1, IND versus WAS
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.