Week 3 · Sunday, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET · Jacksonville
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
47% NE win probability53% JAX win probability
- Projected
- 23–23
- Model confidence
- 28%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans JAX
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Passing efficiencyJAX +0.2
Passing efficiency: JAX +0.2, NE versus JAX
- Home fieldJAX +0.1
Home field: JAX +0.1, NE versus JAX
- QB yards/attemptNE +0.1
QB yards/attempt: NE +0.1, NE versus JAX
- Interception rateNE +0.1
Interception rate: NE +0.1, NE versus JAX
- Rushing defenseJAX +0.1
Rushing defense: JAX +0.1, NE versus JAX
- Rushing offenseNE +0.1
Rushing offense: NE +0.1, NE versus JAX
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.