Week 3 · Sunday, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET · Miami
Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
47% KC win probability53% MIA win probability
- Projected
- 24–23
- Model confidence
- 28%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans MIA
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- QB yards/attemptMIA +0.2
QB yards/attempt: MIA +0.2, KC versus MIA
- Interception rateKC +0.2
Interception rate: KC +0.2, KC versus MIA
- Home fieldMIA +0.1
Home field: MIA +0.1, KC versus MIA
- TurnoversMIA +0.1
Turnovers: MIA +0.1, KC versus MIA
- Scoring differentialKC +0.1
Scoring differential: KC +0.1, KC versus MIA
- Rushing defenseKC +0.1
Rushing defense: KC +0.1, KC versus MIA
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.