Week 3 · Sunday, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET · Indianapolis
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
54% HOU win probability46% IND win probability
- Projected
- 24–24
- Model confidence
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans HOU
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageHOU +0.2
Win percentage: HOU +0.2, HOU versus IND
- TurnoversIND +0.2
Turnovers: IND +0.2, HOU versus IND
- Home fieldIND +0.1
Home field: IND +0.1, HOU versus IND
- Interception rateHOU +0.1
Interception rate: HOU +0.1, HOU versus IND
- ScoringIND +0.1
Scoring: IND +0.1, HOU versus IND
- Points allowedHOU +0.1
Points allowed: HOU +0.1, HOU versus IND
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.