Week 3 · Thursday, Sep 24 · 8:15 PM ET · Green Bay
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
46% ATL win probability54% GB win probability
- Projected
- 22–25
- Model confidence
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans ATL
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- QB yards/attemptATL +0.2
QB yards/attempt: ATL +0.2, ATL versus GB
- Home fieldGB +0.1
Home field: GB +0.1, ATL versus GB
- Passing efficiencyATL +0.1
Passing efficiency: ATL +0.1, ATL versus GB
- Offensive touchdownsGB +0.1
Offensive touchdowns: GB +0.1, ATL versus GB
- Win percentageGB +0.1
Win percentage: GB +0.1, ATL versus GB
- Scoring differentialGB +0.1
Scoring differential: GB +0.1, ATL versus GB
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.