Week 2 · Sunday, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET · New England
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
28% PIT win probability72% NE win probability
- Projected
- 19–28
- Model confidence
- 42%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans PIT
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Passing efficiencyPIT +0.2
Passing efficiency: PIT +0.2, PIT versus NE
- Win percentageNE +0.2
Win percentage: NE +0.2, PIT versus NE
- Home fieldNE +0.1
Home field: NE +0.1, PIT versus NE
- Scoring differentialNE +0.1
Scoring differential: NE +0.1, PIT versus NE
- ScoringNE +0.1
Scoring: NE +0.1, PIT versus NE
- Rushing offenseNE +0.1
Rushing offense: NE +0.1, PIT versus NE
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.