Week 2 · Sunday, Sep 20 · 8:20 PM ET · Kansas City
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs
56% IND win probability44% KC win probability
- Projected
- 22–21
- Model confidence
- 30%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans KC
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldKC +0.1
Home field: KC +0.1, IND versus KC
- ScoringIND +0.1
Scoring: IND +0.1, IND versus KC
- TurnoversIND +0.1
Turnovers: IND +0.1, IND versus KC
- QB yards/attemptIND +0.1
QB yards/attempt: IND +0.1, IND versus KC
- Win percentageIND +0.1
Win percentage: IND +0.1, IND versus KC
- Passing efficiencyKC +0.1
Passing efficiency: KC +0.1, IND versus KC
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.