Week 1 · Sunday, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET · Philadelphia
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
29% WAS win probability71% PHI win probability
- Projected
- 19–26
- Model confidence
- 40%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans PHI
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentagePHI +0.3
Win percentage: PHI +0.3, WAS versus PHI
- Home fieldPHI +0.1
Home field: PHI +0.1, WAS versus PHI
- Scoring differentialPHI +0.1
Scoring differential: PHI +0.1, WAS versus PHI
- Interception ratePHI +0.1
Interception rate: PHI +0.1, WAS versus PHI
- TurnoversWAS +0.1
Turnovers: WAS +0.1, WAS versus PHI
- Points allowedPHI +0.1
Points allowed: PHI +0.1, WAS versus PHI
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.