Week 1 · Monday, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET · Kansas City
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
67% DEN win probability33% KC win probability
- Projected
- 25–21
- Model confidence
- 38%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans DEN
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageDEN +0.4
Win percentage: DEN +0.4, DEN versus KC
- Home fieldKC +0.1
Home field: KC +0.1, DEN versus KC
- QB yards/attemptDEN +0.1
QB yards/attempt: DEN +0.1, DEN versus KC
- ScoringDEN +0.1
Scoring: DEN +0.1, DEN versus KC
- Rushing defenseDEN +0.1
Rushing defense: DEN +0.1, DEN versus KC
- Scoring differentialDEN +0.1
Scoring differential: DEN +0.1, DEN versus KC
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.